Texas House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sylvester Turner a 100% chance of winning the Texas House 2024 primary. Sylvester Turner won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sylvester Turner — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Lana Centonze — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts