Tennessee House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark E. Green an 89% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2024 primary. Mark E. Green won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark E. Green — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Megan Barry — 11% model odds
  3. Shaun Greene — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts