Tennessee House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andrew Ogles a 69% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2024 primary. Andrew Ogles won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andrew Ogles — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Maryam Abolfazli — 31% model odds
  3. Bob Titley — 0% model odds
  4. Jim Larkin — 0% model odds
  5. Yomi \"Fapas\" Faparusi — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts