Tennessee House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Diana Harshbarger a 95% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2024 primary. Diana Harshbarger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Diana Harshbarger — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Kevin Jenkins — 5% model odds
  3. Levi Brake — 0% model odds
  4. Richard G. Baker — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts