Pennsylvania House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christopher R. Deluzio an 89% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2024 primary. Christopher R. Deluzio won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Christopher R. Deluzio — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Rob Mercuri — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts