Pennsylvania House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lloyd Smucker a 100% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2024 primary. Lloyd Smucker won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lloyd Smucker — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Jim Atkinson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts