Pennsylvania House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Madeleine Dean a 100% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2024 primary. Madeleine Dean won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Madeleine Dean — 100% model odds (won)
  2. David Winkler — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts