Pennsylvania House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brendan F. Boyle a 100% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2024 primary. Brendan F. Boyle won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brendan F. Boyle — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Aaron Bashir — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts