Oregon House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andrea Salinas a 95% chance of winning the Oregon House 2024 primary. Andrea Salinas won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andrea Salinas — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Erickson — 5% model odds
  3. Miscellaneous — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts