Oregon House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Janelle S. Bynum a 50% chance of winning the Oregon House 2024 primary. Janelle S. Bynum won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Janelle S. Bynum — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Lori Chavez-Deremer — 50% model odds
  3. Andrea Thorn Townsend — 0% model odds
  4. Brett Smith — 0% model odds
  5. Miscellaneous — 0% model odds
  6. Sonja Feintech — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts