Oregon House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Monique Despain a 69% chance of winning the Oregon House 2024 primary. Val T. Hoyle won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Monique Despain — 69% model odds
  2. Val T. Hoyle — 31% model odds (won)
  3. Dan Bahlen — 0% model odds
  4. Justin Filip — 0% model odds
  5. Miscellaneous — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts