North Carolina House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pat Harrigan an 89% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2024 primary. Pat Harrigan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Pat Harrigan — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Ralph R. Scott, Jr. — 11% model odds
  3. Steven Feldman — 0% model odds
  4. Todd Helm — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts