North Carolina House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Addison Mcdowell a 100% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2024 primary. Addison Mcdowell won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Addison Mcdowell — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Kevin E. Hayes — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts