North Carolina House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Valerie P. Foushee a 95% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2024 primary. Valerie P. Foushee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Valerie P. Foushee — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Eric Blankenburg — 5% model odds
  3. Guy Meilleur — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts