North Carolina House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gregory F. Murphy a 100% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2024 primary. Gregory F. Murphy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Gregory F. Murphy — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Gheorghe Cormos — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts