North Carolina House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald G. Davis a 57% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2024 primary. Donald G. Davis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald G. Davis — 57% model odds (won)
  2. Laurie Buckhout — 43% model odds
  3. Tom Bailey — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts