New York House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joseph D. Morelle a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2024 primary. Joseph D. Morelle won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joseph D. Morelle — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Blank — 0% model odds
  3. Gregg A. Sadwick — 0% model odds
  4. Scattering — 0% model odds
  5. Void — 0% model odds
  6. Joseph D. Morelle — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts