New York House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Claudia Tenney a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2024 primary. Claudia Tenney won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Claudia Tenney — 100% model odds (won)
2. Blank — 0% model odds
3. Claudia Tenney — 0% model odds
4. David Wagenhauser — 0% model odds
5. Scattering — 0% model odds
6. Void — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts