New York House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nicholas A. Langworthy a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2024 primary. Nicholas A. Langworthy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nicholas A. Langworthy — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Blank — 0% model odds
  3. Nicholas A. Langworthy — 0% model odds
  4. Scattering — 0% model odds
  5. Thomas A. Carle — 0% model odds
  6. Void — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts