New York House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brandon Williams a 95% chance of winning the New York House 2024 primary. John W. Mannion won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Brandon Williams — 95% model odds
- John W. Mannion — 5% model odds (won)
- Blank — 0% model odds
- Brandon Williams — 0% model odds
- Scattering — 0% model odds
- Void — 0% model odds
- John W. Mannion — 0% model odds