New York House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mondaire L. Jones an 89% chance of winning the New York House 2024 primary. Michael Lawler won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Mondaire L. Jones — 89% model odds
- Michael Lawler — 11% model odds (won)
- Anthony Frascone — 0% model odds
- Blank — 0% model odds
- Michael Lawler — 0% model odds
- Scattering — 0% model odds
- Void — 0% model odds