New York House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adriano Espaillat a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2024 primary. Adriano Espaillat won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Adriano Espaillat — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Blank — 0% model odds
  3. Ruben D. Vargas — 0% model odds
  4. Ruben D. Vargas — 0% model odds
  5. Scattering — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts