New York House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nicole Malliotakis a 56% chance of winning the New York House 2024 primary. Nicole Malliotakis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nicole Malliotakis — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Nicole Malliotakis — 44% model odds
  3. Andrea S. Morse — 0% model odds
  4. Blank — 0% model odds
  5. Scattering — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts