New York House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Laura A. Gillen a 62% chance of winning the New York House 2024 primary. Laura A. Gillen won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Laura A. Gillen — 62% model odds (won)
  2. Anthony D’Esposito — 38% model odds
  3. Blank — 0% model odds
  4. Laura A. Gillen — 0% model odds
  5. Anthony D’Esposito — 0% model odds
  6. Scattering — 0% model odds
  7. Void — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts