New York House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andrew R. Garbarino a 90% chance of winning the New York House 2024 primary. Andrew R. Garbarino won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andrew R. Garbarino — 90% model odds (won)
  2. Rob Lubin — 10% model odds
  3. Blank — 0% model odds
  4. Andrew R. Garbarino — 0% model odds
  5. Scattering — 0% model odds
  6. Void — 0% model odds
  7. Rob Lubin — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts