New Mexico House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Teresa Leger Fernandez a 100% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2024 primary. Teresa Leger Fernandez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Teresa Leger Fernandez — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Sharon E. Clahchischilliage — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts