New Mexico House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Melanie A. Stansbury a 100% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2024 primary. Melanie A. Stansbury won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Melanie A. Stansbury — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Steve Jones — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts