New Jersey House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bonnie Watson Coleman a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2024 primary. Bonnie Watson Coleman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bonnie Watson Coleman — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Darius Mayfield — 0% model odds
  3. Kim Meudt — 0% model odds
  4. Vic Kaplan — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts