New Jersey House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lamonica Mciver a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2024 primary. Lamonica Mciver won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lamonica Mciver — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Carmen Bucco — 0% model odds
  3. Cynthia A. Johnson — 0% model odds
  4. Donna Weiss — 0% model odds
  5. Jon Carlos Serrano — 0% model odds
  6. Michelle Middleton — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts