New Jersey House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert Menendez a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2024 primary. Robert Menendez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robert Menendez — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Anthony Valdes — 0% model odds
  3. Christian J. Robbins — 0% model odds
  4. Lea Sherman — 0% model odds
  5. Pablo R. Olivera — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts