New Jersey House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas H. Kean, Jr. a 63% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2024 primary. Thomas H. Kean, Jr. won, matching the model's top pick.
- Thomas H. Kean, Jr. — 63% model odds (won)
- Sue Altman — 37% model odds
- Andrew Black — 0% model odds
- Lana Leguia — 0% model odds