New Jersey House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank Pallone, Jr. a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2024 primary. Frank Pallone, Jr. won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Frank Pallone, Jr. — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Fahad Akhtar — 0% model odds
  3. Herb Tarbous — 0% model odds
  4. Matthew Amitrano — 0% model odds
  5. Scott Fegler — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts