New Jersey House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christopher H. Smith a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2024 primary. Christopher H. Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Christopher H. Smith — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Barry Bendar — 0% model odds
  3. John Morrison — 0% model odds
  4. Matthew Jenkins — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts