New Jersey House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald Norcross a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2024 primary. Donald Norcross won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald Norcross — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Austin Johnson — 0% model odds
  3. Robin Brownfield — 0% model odds
  4. Theodore \"Teddy\" Liddell — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts