New Hampshire House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Pappas a 69% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2024 primary. Chris Pappas won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Pappas — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Russell Prescott — 31% model odds
  3. Over Votes — 0% model odds
  4. Under Votes — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts