Nevada House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark E. Amodei a 79% chance of winning the Nevada House 2024 primary. Mark E. Amodei won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark E. Amodei — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Greg Kidd — 21% model odds
  3. Javi \"Trujillo\" Tachiquin — 0% model odds
  4. Lynn Chapman — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts