Montana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Troy Downing a 100% chance of winning the Montana House 2024 primary. Troy Downing won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Troy Downing — 100% model odds (won)
  2. John B. Driscoll — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts