Montana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ryan K. Zinke a 56% chance of winning the Montana House 2024 primary. Ryan K. Zinke won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ryan K. Zinke — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Monica Tranel — 44% model odds
  3. Dennis Hayes — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts