Missouri House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Emanuel Cleaver a 100% chance of winning the Missouri House 2024 primary. Emanuel Cleaver won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Emanuel Cleaver — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Day — 0% model odds
  3. Sean E. Smith — 0% model odds
  4. William Truman \"Bill\" Wayne — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts