Missouri House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Alford a 100% chance of winning the Missouri House 2024 primary. Mark Alford won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark Alford — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Jeanette Cass — 0% model odds
  3. Thomas Holbrook — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts