Missouri House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ann Wagner a 100% chance of winning the Missouri House 2024 primary. Ann Wagner won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ann Wagner — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Brandon Daugherty — 0% model odds
  3. Ray Hartmann — 0% model odds
  4. Shelby Davis — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts