Mississippi House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Trent Kelly a 100% chance of winning the Mississippi House 2024 primary. Trent Kelly won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Trent Kelly — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Dianne Dodson Black — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts