Minnesota House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michelle Fischbach a 100% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2024 primary. Michelle Fischbach won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michelle Fischbach — 100% model odds (won)
  2. A J \"John\" Peters — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts