Minnesota House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Angie Craig an 89% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2024 primary. Angie Craig won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Angie Craig — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Joe Teirab — 11% model odds
  3. Thomas William Bowman — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts