Michigan House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Shri Thanedar a 100% chance of winning the Michigan House 2024 primary. Shri Thanedar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Shri Thanedar — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Chris Clark — 0% model odds
  3. Chris Dardzinski — 0% model odds
  4. Martell D. Bivings — 0% model odds
  5. Simone R. Coleman — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts