Michigan House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rashida Tlaib a 100% chance of winning the Michigan House 2024 primary. Rashida Tlaib won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rashida Tlaib — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Brenda K. Sanders — 0% model odds
  3. Gary Walkowicz — 0% model odds
  4. James D. Hooper — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts