Michigan House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Haley M. Stevens a 100% chance of winning the Michigan House 2024 primary. Haley M. Stevens won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Haley M. Stevens — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Douglas Campbell — 0% model odds
  3. Nick Somberg — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts