Michigan House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John James a 100% chance of winning the Michigan House 2024 primary. John James won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John James — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Andrea L. Kirby — 0% model odds
  3. Carl J. Marlinga — 0% model odds
  4. Mike Saliba — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts