Michigan House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kristen Mcdonald Rivet a 58% chance of winning the Michigan House 2024 primary. Kristen Mcdonald Rivet won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kristen Mcdonald Rivet — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Paul Junge — 42% model odds
  3. James Allen Little — 0% model odds
  4. Jim Casha — 0% model odds
  5. Kathy Goodwin — 0% model odds
  6. Steve Barcelo — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts