Michigan House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Hillary J. Scholten a 58% chance of winning the Michigan House 2024 primary. Hillary J. Scholten won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Hillary J. Scholten — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Paul Hudson — 42% model odds
  3. Alex Avery — 0% model odds
  4. Louis Palus — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts